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Presidential Race is "Very Close," According to Pollster Scott Rasmussen '86

Presidential Race is "Very Close," According to Pollster Scott Rasmussen '86

July 6, 2012

When analyzing presidential polls, "The exact wrong thing, which a lot of people do, is they pick the result they like best and rationalize as to why it’s the most reliable," says Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports, a polling organization. The 1986 DePauw University graduate adds, "That’s a natural human instinct, but you should always look at as much polling data as you can, and rather than picking apart the differences, look for common ground."

A Dayton Daily News story by Jeremy P. Kelley notes, "Last week’s common ground was that four of the five national polls were close -- either inside the poll’s stated 'margin of error' or within 1 percentage point of it."

According to Rasmussen, "If the ‘registered voter’ polls are showing a little bit of a lead toward Obama and the ‘likely voter’ polls are showing a few points more in Romney’s direction, this race is very close. That is the overriding message."

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A history major at DePauw, Rasmussen authored The People's Money, Mad as Hell: How the Tea Party Movement is Fundamentally Remaking Our Two-Party System, In Search of Self-Governance and Solving the Budget Crisis: Hope for America's Future. He co-founded ESPN with his father Bill Rasmussen, a 1954 DePauw graduate.

Scott Rasmussen will return to his alma mater on February 20, 2013 to deliver a Distinguished Alumni Lecture as part of DePauw's 175th anniversary celebration.